๐Ÿฉณ

Short Length Crew Neck
Co-Purchase Analysis

Should True Classic ship Short Length from an Asia-direct 3PL?
Split shipment risk assessment based on real order data.
๐Ÿ“… Jun 24 โ€“ Jul 2, 2026 ยท 956 US DTC orders
Total Orders
956
Since launch
Pure Orders
82%
785 โ€” Short Length only
Mixed Orders
18%
171 โ€” would split
Split Risk
LOW
~1 in 6 orders

โœ… Asia-Direct 3PL is Viable

82% of Short Length orders contain ONLY Short Length items โ€” these could ship from Asia with zero split issues. Only 18% would require a split shipment. The ratio has been stable every single day since launch.

๐Ÿ“Š Daily Pure vs Mixed

Each bar shows pure (green) vs mixed (amber) orders per day
Pure (Short Length only)
Mixed (would split)
๐Ÿ’ก Key Insight

The pure-order ratio has been remarkably stable at 78โ€“88% every day since launch. This isn't a launch-week fluke โ€” it's a durable customer behavior pattern. Short Length buyers are purpose-shopping for this specific product.

๐Ÿฉ Overall Split

Proportion of orders that would vs wouldn't require a split shipment
956
orders
785 Pure (82.1%)
Ship from Asia โœ…
171 Mixed (17.9%)
Would require split โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ›’ What's in the Mixed Orders?

Among 171 mixed orders, these products and categories were most frequently co-purchased

By Category

CategoryOrders
Classic Crew Neck (Reg)119
Polo61
Mystery Pack42
V-Neck36
Active16
Jeans / Denim10
Underwear / Socks9
Outerwear / Layers8

Top Products

ProductOrders
Mystery Tops 3-Pack42
Essentials Crew Neck 3-Pack10
Black V Neck Tee8
Black Classic Crew Neck8
Charcoal Heather Active Crew8
Navy Dressy Polo8
Black Active Crew Neck7
Shadow Active Crew6
Heather Gray Crew Neck6
Charcoal Active Polo 2.06
๐Ÿ“ฆ Split Shipment Impact Estimate

If Short Length ships from an Asia 3PL: ~18% of orders (171 of 956) would require two packages. At an estimated $5โ€“8 incremental shipping cost per split, that's roughly $855โ€“$1,368 over this 10-day window, or ~$2.5โ€“4K/month at current run-rate. Weigh against the savings from Asia-direct fulfillment.

๐Ÿ“‹ Methodology

Products: 11 Shopify products (105 variants) with SKU prefix TCT4903 โ€” all "Short Classic Crew Neck" items.

Date range: Jun 24 โ€“ Jul 2, 2026 (launch through latest available data).

Filters: US DTC only. Excludes voided/refunded, TikTok-sourced, Rivo subscription-tagged orders.

Pure vs Mixed: "Pure" = order contains ONLY Short Length items. "Mixed" = Short Length + other physical products. Package protection (Corso GSP), subscriptions, gift cards, and $0 items excluded from "other" count.

Note: Jul 3 is partial data (5 orders). Jul 4โ€“9 not included due to API constraints but pattern is highly stable.